About Market Regime Capital
Pre-registration CTA building an institutional-quality track record through systematic futures management. Full transparency, real capital, documented performance—preparing for CFTC/NFA registration in 2026-2027.
The Firm
Building Track Record for CTA Registration
Market Regime Capital is a pre-registration systematic futures manager currently building an auditable track record in preparation for CFTC/NFA registration as a Commodity Trading Advisor. All trades are executed in a live account with real capital, documented in real-time, and available for institutional due diligence.
The strategy trades with full transparency—every regime shift, every position change, and every win and loss is documented. Track record includes time-weighted returns, monthly performance, and benchmark comparisons updated daily. Performance data is available upon request for qualified investors. Target registration timeline: 2027-2028.
The Framework
How the Regime Model Works
Risk-On Positioning
When market leadership favors growth, momentum, and risk-taking, the strategy allocates to equity index futures.
The goal is to capture upside during favorable conditions while the regime supports it.
Risk-Off Positioning
When conditions shift defensive, the strategy rotates to alternative assets that serve as stores of value.
Capital preservation becomes the priority until market conditions improve.
Key Characteristics
- —Infrequent signals: Regime shifts occur only a handful of times per year, reflecting significant structural changes in market leadership
- —Responsive framework: The model responds to what the market is doing, not what we predict it will do
- —Full transparency: Every trade, every regime shift, every win and loss is documented with complete auditability
Leadership
Kevin Fitzpatrick, Founder and Portfolio Manager
Kevin Fitzpatrick founded Market Regime Capital after 20 years of trading experience and quantitative research. His background spans data science, systematic strategy development, and direct market exposure across multiple asset classes.
The regime framework emerged from multi-year research into institutional capital flows and market leadership patterns. Development included extensive backtesting across 2,000+ parameter variations, out-of-sample validation, and live forward testing with personal capital beginning in 2025. The strategy demonstrated consistent profitability across parameter sets, confirming the edge is structural rather than curve-fitted.
Kevin trades the strategy exclusively with personal capital. Every position, regime shift, and performance metric is documented in real-time, with detailed performance data available upon request for qualified investors. The track record reflects actual executed trades at stated prices, including all commissions and slippage, not hypothetical or simulated results.
Market Regime Capital's mission is to scale this framework for qualified institutional investors through a transparent, rules-based process with complete alignment of interests.
Future Availability
Investment Program
Market Regime Capital is building a track record in preparation for registration as a Commodity Trading Advisor (CTA). The program will be available to accredited investors with a performance-based fee structure. Investors interested in learning about future availability are welcome to reach out.
Review Our Approach & Track Record
Explore our systematic methodology and live trading performance.
Disclaimer
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Market Regime Capital is not currently registered as a Commodity Trading Advisor.
The content on this website is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Consult with qualified financial professionals before making any investment decisions.