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Stop Guessing. Trade With Rules That Control Risk.

Most investors don’t fail because they’re wrong —
they fail because they stay exposed when market conditions quietly deteriorate.

This newsletter exists to solve that problem.


What This Is

I publish a rules-based market regime signal that answers one question every day:

Are conditions healthy enough to take risk — or is it time to step aside?

When conditions are strong, the model stays invested.
When conditions weaken, it turns defensive.

When conditions deteriorate, the model turns defensive (red). When conditions improve, it re-engages risk (green).

No predictions. No opinions. Just a repeatable process.


Why This Matters

You don’t need to predict the future to manage risk.

Just like driving:

  • You don’t guess tomorrow’s weather

  • You respond to what’s in front of you

Clear road —> drive normally
Low visibility —> slow down

This system applies the same logic to markets.

What You’ll Receive

  • A daily dashboard showing whether conditions are risk-on or risk-off

  • Clear documentation of how I’m positioned and why

  • A transparent, real-time view of how the model behaves during both calm and volatile markets

Proof This Isn’t Theory

  • Market Regime History
    A step-by-step walk through of how this exact model behaved during past crashes, recoveries, and bull markets — trade by trade.

  • Track Record
    A transparent record showing real performance, including drawdowns and difficult periods.

Join now for clear signals and a disciplined process